Charts of the Week


Charts of the Week

Charts of the week from 21 to 25 April 2025: economic sentiment and average gross wage per employee

The value of the economic sentiment indicator declined slightly in April amid heightened uncertainty in the international economic environment. The decrease was driven by lower confidence indicators among consumers and in retail trade. Year-on-year nominal growth in the average gross wage remained higher in February than at the end of 2024, primarily due to stronger growth in the public sector following the implementation of the new wage system. In the private sector, year-on-year wage growth moderated slightly, which may be attributable to easing labour market pressures and a smaller increase in the minimum wage compared to the previous year.
 

In April, the value of the sentiment indicator declined slightly compared to March but remained marginally higher than in April 2024. Month-on-month, confidence weakened among consumers and in retail trade and these were also the only two indicators to record a year-on-year decline. Year-on-year, confidence indicator in construction was higher, with slight improvements also observed in manufacturing and services. The economic sentiment indicator thus remains below its long-term average, while only the indicators for services and construction still exceeding their respective long-term averages.

 

Year-on-year nominal growth of the average gross wage stood at 6.6% in February, a rate similar to that recorded in January but higher than at the end of 2024, primarily due to stronger wage growth in the public sector following the implementation of the new wage system. In the public sector, wages rose by 10.6% year-on-year in February, supported by the disbursement of the first instalment of the agreed wage increase. In the private sector, year-on-year growth continued to moderate slightly (4.4%), which, in our assessment, may be attributed to a decline in excess demand – indicated by a declining job vacancy rate – and a smaller increase in the minimum wage at the beginning of this year compared to last year.
In real terms, the average gross wage increased by 5% in February – by 2.8% in the private sector and by 8.9% in the public sector.