Charts of the Week
Charts of the week from 27 to 30 October 2025: consumer prices, economic sentiment and turnover in market services
The year-on-year growth in consumer prices accelerated to 3.1% in October. This acceleration mainly reflects stronger price growth in the housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels group, driven largely by last year’s low base (related to the introduction of the new electricity network charge calculation system) and by higher heat energy prices this year. Year-on-year price growth continued to be driven primarily by higher prices in the food and non-alcoholic beverages group. The value of the economic sentiment indicator, which has been improving since mid-year, was also higher year-on-year in October for the second consecutive month. Total real turnover in market services, which had declined in the second quarter and continued to fall in July, rose sharply in August (seasonally adjusted). The increase was most pronounced in transportation and storage as well as in professional and technical activities, which, after eight months, remain the only sectors exceeding last year’s levels.
Consumer prices, October 2025
Year-on-year growth in consumer prices increased by 0.5 p.p. to 3.1% in October, with prices remaining unchanged at the monthly level. The higher annual rate was largely attributable to a lower base effect, as a new electricity network charge calculation system was introduced in October last year, starting with the lower summer tariff period. Consequently, price growth in the housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels group accelerated from 0.4% to 4.2% in October this year. An additional contributing factor was a 6.3% monthly increase in the price of heat energy. Year-on-year inflation continued to be driven mainly by prices in the food and non-alcoholic beverages group, which increased by 6.8% year-on-year (7.0% in September). The year-on-year growth in prices of durable goods strengthened slightly in October but remained moderate at 0.6%. Due to less pronounced seasonal price increases in the clothing and footwear group, the year-on-year growth in semi-durable goods prices slowed further, reaching 0.2% – the lowest level since September last year. The year-on-year growth in service prices (2.7%) fell below 3% in the last two months.
Economic sentiment, October 2025
The economic sentiment indicator continued to improve in October and was again also higher year-on-year. Its value has been rising steadily since mid-year, with the confidence strengthening across all activities. Consumer confidence, however, remained roughly unchanged after improving in August. With the exception of manufacturing, where the confidence indicator has been improving only gradually, its value has exceeded the long-term average in all other activities (construction, trade, and services). The consumer confidence indicator remains slightly below its long-term average, showing no notable improvement since mid-year.
Turnover in market services, August 2025
Total real turnover in market services, which had declined in the second quarter and continued to decrease in July, rose sharply in August (by 2.7%, seasonally adjusted), while remaining broadly unchanged year-on-year. Turnover increased significantly in current terms in transportation and storage (particularly in storage) where growth has been sustained over a prolonged period. Growth was also relatively strong in professional and technical activities, following a sharp decline in turnover in the second quarter and in July. In information and communication, modest growth continued in August after an increase in the first half of the year. After an increase in the second quarter and a decline in July, turnover in accommodation and food service activities also rose slightly in August. Turnover decreased only in administrative and support service activities, mainly due to a continued contraction in employment services. In the first eight months of 2025, real turnover was higher year-on-year only in transportation and storage (by 2.3%) and in professional and technical activities (by 0.9%).