Forecasts
IMAD’s forecasts represent background documents used by Slovenian government in preparing economic policy measures and drafting the state budget. They include analyses and forecasts for the current year and the following two years. They are released twice a year, in March and September. In the event of extraordinary events in Slovenia or abroad, interim forecasts are prepared.
Autumn Forecast of Economic Trends 2024
Economic growth is expected to slow this year (to 1.5%) and thus be lower than expected in IMAD’s Spring Forecast (2.4%). Overall export growth is…
Spring Forecast of Economic Trends 2024
Economic growth will pick up this year (from 1.6% last year to 2.4%), albeit somewhat more modestly than we had forecast in the autumn (2.8%).…
Autumn Forecast of Economic Trends 2023
Economic growth is slowing this year, especially in the export-oriented part of the economy, growth in private consumption is also lower than last…
Spring Forecast of Economic Trends 2023
Since autumn, uncertainty about energy supply and prices started to recede and the outlook for economic growth in Slovenia’s main trading partners has…
Autumn Forecast of Economic Trends 2022
The Forecast was prepared under conditions of great uncertainty, mainly related to the situation on the energy markets, which is deteriorating as the…
Spring Forecast of Economic Trends 2022
The Spring Forecast of Economic Trends was prepared in a situation of high uncertainty related to the war in Ukraine. After a deep downturn in 2020…
Autumn Forecast of Economic Trends 2021
The economic outlook has improved and we expect GDP growth of 6.1% this year. Mainly due to higher forecasts in the international environment,…
Spring Forecast of Economic Trends 2021
After last year’s sharp contraction of economic activity, we forecast 4.6% GDP growth for this year. Assuming an improvement in the epidemiological…
Winter Forecast of Economic Trends 2020
In the Winter Forecast IMAD projects a 6.6% decline in GDP for this year. After a deep fall in the second quarter, the economy recovered even more…
Autumn Forecast of Economic Trends 2020
In the Autumn Forecast, IMAD predicts a 6.7% decline in GDP for this year. The forecasts for Slovenia’s main trading partners for this year have…