Publications
All our studies, forecasts and analyses are published in publications, which are available on our website; some of them are also available in printed form. If you wish to be notified when a new publication is released, you can subscribe to IMAD’s e-mail alerts by providing your e-mail address.
Spring Forecast of Economic Trends 2024
Economic growth will pick up this year (from 1.6% last year to 2.4%), albeit somewhat more modestly than we had forecast in the autumn (2.8%). Economic activity will benefit from continued investment growth, easing of inflationary pressures and a recovery in foreign demand, although this will be somewhat weaker than expected in the autumn. We expect a recovery in goods exports after last year’s…
Slovenian Economic Mirror 1/2024
Most available short-term economic indicators for Slovenia improved at the end of 2023, but with the exception of construction and certain segments of household consumption, they have mostly not reached the level of a year ago. After two months of growth, trade in goods fell again in November, but it was on average higher in October and November than on average in the third quarter. Since…
Slovenian Economic Mirror 8/2023
Most available economic indicators for Slovenia improved at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Real exports and imports of goods in October were similar to the previous month, while the year-on-year decline was slightly smaller. After manufacturing production had increased in September, it continued to rise slightly in October and was roughly at the same level as a year ago. The available data…
Productivity Report 2023
The Institute of Macroeconomic Analysis and Development, as the National Productivity Board, produced the fifth Productivity Report.
We find that productivity shifts at the macro level are modest and that the gap with the EU average even widened in 2022. At the same time, however, Slovenia is not only maintaining its competitive edge in areas where it is traditionally strong, such as…
Slovenian Economic Mirror 7/2023
In Slovenia, the slowdown in economic growth is also reflected in the labour market. The year-on-year growth in the number of persons in employment has slowed, and the decline in the number of registered unemployed, which had been strong until the middle of this year, has also slowed. Despite the slowdown in employment momentum, around half of companies in construction, a third in trade and a…
Slovenian Economic Mirror 6/2023
Most of the available economic indicators in Slovenia deteriorated in the summer. After months of decline, exports and imports of goods increased slightly in August, while manufacturing output continued to contract. The year-on-year decline in activity in export-oriented sectors deepened, especially in energy-intensive industries, and export expectations in manufacturing remain very low. Data on…
Autumn Forecast of Economic Trends 2023
Economic growth is slowing this year, especially in the export-oriented part of the economy, growth in private consumption is also lower than last year, while construction investment continues to increase. In its Autumn Forecast, the Institute of Macroeconomic Analysis and Development (IMAD) forecasts real GDP growth of 1.6% this year. This is slightly lower than what was predicted in the spring…
Slovenian Economic Mirror 5/2023
The values of some short-term economic indicators for Slovenia, relating to international trade in goods and manufacturing activity, declined on average in April and May compared to the first quarter. Real turnover in market services also fell significantly in April and was also lower year-on-year. Real turnover in retail trade excluding fuel rose slightly month-on-month in April, but remained…
Slovenian Economic Mirror 4/2023
The value of some short-term economic indicators for Slovenia relating to international trade in goods and manufacturing declined in April. Trade in services showed an upward trend, mainly due to a significant recovery in trade in tourism-related services. Turnover in market services also increased in the first quarter, particularly in professional and technical services and architectural and…
Slovenian Economic Mirror 3/2023
Growth in economic activity in the first quarter was driven by household consumption, construction investment and growth in most services, where the post-COVID-19 recovery continues in some sectors. Activity in the export-oriented part of the economy was weak but trade in services, especially travel, has picked up. Employment of foreign workers was the largest contributor to overall growth in the…